Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac6fe7a59cae5dde46f2b44f0f340778e67dcb849f777f30757c2f38dcc113e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 41c | 729.61$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.07 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 59c | 311.37$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.71 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 238.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…081ebacked Over | 36c | 180.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 173.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 168.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 164.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 57c | 105$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 60c | 88.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 45.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 60c | 23.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.