South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d0fa9b6c2eefbb5f6895f78a61e9cd3b682f79f27e35b09fc474dfa2a0af9db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 29c | 6,600$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.48 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 74c | 6,015$4,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.33 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 72c | 5,631$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 5,185$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.86 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 71c | 3,422$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 34c | 2,288$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 2,186$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.42 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 1,445$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 1,420$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.4 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 34c | 1,386$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.45 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,061$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.45 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 27c | 878.51$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.33 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 72c | 796.74$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.65 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 742.7$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.04 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 63c | 603.17$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 328$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 295.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 292.18$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 33c | 228.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Yes | 33c | 225.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 66c | 212.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 182.15$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 153.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 74c | 118.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 34c | 116.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 67c | 98.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 38c | 85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 70c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 63c | 78.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 37c | 66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 66c | 39.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 72c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 66c | 31.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 66c | 31.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked No | 75c | 29.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…14ccbacked No | 65c | 15.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed No | 65c | 15.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 66c | 15.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed No | 74c | 14.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)Caracas FC won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Caracas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.