South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0d492c9b2a3fb88e34339cd0d22ed0a4024971271abb169518435ada6378a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 50c | 64,421$32,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,240.62 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 7c | 17,289$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.08 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 8,489$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.27 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 50c | 7,912$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.23 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 50c | 5,605$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.37 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 50c | 5,086$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 50c | 4,522$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 50c | 3,889$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 3,844$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.81 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 3,783$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.3 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 2,328$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.51 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 50c | 2,228$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.9 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 48c | 2,167$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.59 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 50c | 1,678$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 50c | 1,318$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.03 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 49c | 1,289$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.23 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 1,274$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.14 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 8c | 700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 77c | 611.99$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 50c | 598.38$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.98 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 7c | 508.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 50c | 341.08$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 238.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 50c | 223.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 215.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 56c | 199.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 50c | 193.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 50c | 190.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 160.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 50c | 157.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 150.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 49c | 150.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 54c | 142.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Under | 49c | 135.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 51c | 125.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…84d7backed Under | 50c | 123$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 50c | 118.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 50c | 79.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 60.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a78…a6bebacked Under | 48c | 46.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under | 44c | 45.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Under | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 51c | 40.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 50c | 39.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 50c | 39.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 33.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 50c | 33.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5312backed Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 51c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 52c | 25.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 56c | 19.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)Caracas FC won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Caracas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.