South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f38868c735f91cc73118a9fee9d86ea88912d5a2715fcc249692866d3e7f818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caracas FCof Racing Club, Caracas FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Racing Club | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.8 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Caracas FC | 36c | 13,898$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,907.35 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Caracas FC | 35c | 2,329$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.86 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Racing Club | 47c | 1,422$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Caracas FC | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.54 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Racing Club | 60c | 1,003$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.74 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Racing Club | 61c | 815.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Caracas FC | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Racing Club | 34c | 319.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Caracas FC | 35c | 299.53$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.69 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Caracas FC | 35c | 214.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Caracas FC | 46c | 163.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Racing Club | 54c | 133.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Racing Club | 58c | 126$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Caracas FC | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Caracas FC | 41c | 107.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Racing Club | 61c | 103.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Racing Club | 52c | 91.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Racing Club | 63c | 89.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Caracas FC | 41c | 73.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Racing Club | 63c | 60.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Racing Club | 53c | 50.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed Caracas FC | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Racing Club | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Caracas FC | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…b2a3backed Racing Club | 53c | 39.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…0d95backed Caracas FC | 39c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…f481backed Caracas FC | 35c | 35.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Caracas FC | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Caracas FC | 49c | 28.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked Racing Club | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Caracas FC | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Racing Club | 60c | 24.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Racing Club | 53c | 23.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Racing Club | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)this page
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Caracas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.