South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccc1608ed75b8c9a5722032ee811870cc025cb90a685fa5bb483507457cce696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 28c | 17,906$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 76c | 9,499$7,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.67 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 4,048$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.13 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 19c | 3,862$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.62 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 3,374$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 31c | 3,340$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.72 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 77c | 1,685$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.58 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 14c | 1,491$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 70c | 1,085$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.97 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 27c | 925.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 808.99$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.46 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 75c | 666.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 28c | 651.17$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.84 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 10c | 456.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…00edbacked Over | 57c | 433.23$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Over | 27c | 420.16$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Over | 29c | 317.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 36c | 299.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 183.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 70c | 177.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 166.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 57c | 163.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 63c | 157.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 72c | 150.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 60c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 30c | 145.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 13c | 132.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Over | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 73c | 114.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 11c | 109.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 69c | 95.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 89.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 18c | 63.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 75c | 59.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 57.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 65c | 34.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…d4e2backed Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 35c | 30.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Over | 72c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…4406backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Over | 74c | 21.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Over | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 71c | 18.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…b2a3backed Over | 76c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 79c | 13.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)Caracas FC won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Caracas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.