South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc96a9119dd190213d4c6c9e7794f4e63c8a75e5c1094cba6653991089c8a2cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caracas FCof Racing Club, Caracas FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Caracas FC | 61c | 419.97$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Racing Club | 36c | 264.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Racing Club | 36c | 214.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Caracas FC | 68c | 177.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Racing Club | 35c | 170.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Caracas FC | 65c | 154.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…43e4backed Caracas FC | 69c | 139.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Caracas FC | 67c | 93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Racing Club | 39c | 89.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Caracas FC | 67c | 87.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Caracas FC | 60c | 63.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Caracas FC | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Caracas FC | 68c | 60.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Racing Club | 35c | 55.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Racing Club | 32c | 45.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Caracas FC | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Caracas FC | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Caracas FC | 67c | 21.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Caracas FC | 68c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…b2a3backed Caracas FC | 72c | 18.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)this page
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)Caracas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.