South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x431974da23621df3917d31b4590c34144ec4502a013f0cc049244032e0477e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 52c | 2,545$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 2,043$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.54 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,673$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.02 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 52c | 1,241$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.66 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 46c | 769.33$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.86 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 57c | 683.45$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.1 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 620.58$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.29 | 1,702 | 52%885 W · 817 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Yes | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 51c | 255.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 45c | 199.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…a059backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 178.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 1,502 | 45.9%690 W · 812 L | -18.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 46c | 155.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 127.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 1,305 | 53.6%700 W · 605 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed No | 39c | 123.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 43c | 101.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 1,324 | 50.1%663 W · 661 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 44c | 83.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 78.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 1,271 | 56%712 W · 559 L | +71.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 70.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 3,807 | 38.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L | -29.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 47c | 53.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…af7bbacked Yes | 53c | 46.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Yes | 43c | 44.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 57c | 40.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 57c | 40.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 51c | 37.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…f90cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 186 | 57.5%107 W · 79 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 47c | 34.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…5f76backed No | 51c | 31.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…37e7backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…763ebacked Yes | 54c | 27.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…14ccbacked No | 46c | 25.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816d…5729backed Yes | 60c | 22.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Yes | 57c | 20.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.