South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ce52a4c6c3c3e17fcbde83753c1eb76d1f47136ad3c4e29964555b8897c2876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 6,673$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 5,854$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.58 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 4,655$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 3,544$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.21 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 59c | 2,187$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.01 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 47c | 2,117$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.51 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 50c | 1,046$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 1,031$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.58 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 675.13$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 667.18$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.59 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 600$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 479.02$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.72 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 39c | 299.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…6210backed Over | 37c | 272.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 46c | 236.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 183.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 60c | 167.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 52c | 158$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 72c | 150.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 149.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 59c | 148.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed Over | 42c | 139.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 47c | 127.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…0ce6backed Under | 53c | 116.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 57c | 104.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 53c | 103.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 74c | 98.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 77c | 98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…611cbacked Under | 42c | 94.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634f…30a7backed Under | 57c | 91.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 90.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…6820backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 45c | 76.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 53c | 73.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 53c | 68.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 35c | 65.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 36c | 64.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed Over | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 39c | 55.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Over | 49c | 43.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…5a00backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…01fdbacked Under | 56c | 35.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 48c | 30.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2e…1b4cbacked Under | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…ce7cbacked Under | 56c | 26.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…e018backed Under | 61c | 24.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 62c | 24.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 48c | 24.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 65c | 23.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 55c | 22.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…7188backed Over | 58c | 17.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.