South American Leagues · resolved market
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ef306585cf998962c17dbc81a33cb71566e447fed6deb52eb611cc1d0d84edc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 52c | 932.65$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.67 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 744.77$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.49 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 54c | 105.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed No | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 83.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 63.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…d511backed No | 49c | 59.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 57.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed No | 50c | 47.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 45.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 49c | 42.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcc…9cddbacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 38.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 50c | 36.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 67c | 28.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…0d8cbacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…14ccbacked No | 50c | 20.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed No | 50c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 1.5Over won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5Under won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 3.5Under won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Academia Puerto Cabello (-1.5)CA Juventud won
- Spread: CA Juventud (-1.5)Academia Puerto Cabello won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.