South American Leagues · resolved market
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3fe8e9af423f7d536623e7cc9b0f278c99fe153728ee60b2d5f9618d8c56ba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 25c | 6,148$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 75c | 4,266$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.9 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 4,076$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.13 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 2,895$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.53 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 18c | 2,644$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.22 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 24c | 2,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 2,191$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.84 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 41c | 1,875$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 24c | 1,579$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.27 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 857.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.14 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 24c | 855.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 812$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 66c | 658.5$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 76c | 629.58$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Under | 59c | 584$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 75c | 537$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.25 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 32c | 299.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 27c | 260.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 24c | 176.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 75c | 166$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 50c | 98.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 71.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 68c | 50.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 69c | 35.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 3.5this page
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 1.5Over won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5Under won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Academia Puerto Cabello (-1.5)CA Juventud won
- Spread: CA Juventud (-1.5)Academia Puerto Cabello won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.