South American Leagues · resolved market
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13bff32665b41a13781feda740c710bebed01c465622fd118e1a931cdf7bbd5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 10,130$5,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 6,764$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 4,999$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.64 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 76c | 4,517$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 4,435$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.31 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.94 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 56c | 2,644$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.32 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 51c | 1,775$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 23c | 1,028$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 667.01$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.41 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 629.14$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.82 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 65c | 609.97$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Over | 48c | 556$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 56c | 525.01$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.01 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 44c | 401.23$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Over | 50c | 393.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 393$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.45 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…42bebacked Over | 49c | 330.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 56c | 298.53$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 32c | 250$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 57c | 241.61$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 213.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Over | 48c | 210.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 56c | 169.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 151.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…49e0backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 43c | 125.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 43c | 106.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 60c | 98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 54c | 92.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Under | 60c | 82.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 52c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 64c | 64.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 61c | 64.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 59c | 58.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 58c | 43.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 56c | 41.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 44c | 34.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Over | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 33.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 66c | 31.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 29.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 44c | 28.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 58c | 25.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 78c | 25.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 55c | 25.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 43c | 24.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Over | 63c | 24.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 72c | 22.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…2079backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf608…5beebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 67c | 17.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Over | 69c | 17.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 64c | 17.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5this page
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 1.5Over won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 3.5Under won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Academia Puerto Cabello (-1.5)CA Juventud won
- Spread: CA Juventud (-1.5)Academia Puerto Cabello won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.