Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3ba1a3250684386acce0afad6c22ff7aabda02b2151f8201eda7303ba227b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 35c | 3,054$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.74 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 65c | 2,392$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 401$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.36 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 343.3$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.21 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 37c | 217.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 64c | 164.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 163.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 64c | 131.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 64c | 93.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 64c | 57.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 35c | 45.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 307 | 31.9%98 W · 209 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 64c | 38.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 52c | 37.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 36c | 32.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…14ccbacked Yes | 64c | 21.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 64c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Yes | 64c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 64c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 19.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.