Asian League · resolved market
Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3145d27e231b9bffe2493d6d60b44875c3b2d273918f41c6fed9b5d1f636c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Clubof NEOM SC, Al Ettifaq Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed NEOM SC | 30c | 5,203$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.85 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked NEOM SC | 11c | 1,332$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 71c | 1,248$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.45 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 73c | 528$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 71c | 435.77$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 71c | 312$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed NEOM SC | 30c | 301.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed NEOM SC | 29c | 301.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 69c | 270.94$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 71c | 246$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed NEOM SC | 30c | 62.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NEOM SC | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 72c | 41.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 72c | 30.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 77c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 72c | 24.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 73c | 21.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)NEOM SC won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.