Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe01b54fabcae2acfbe795c5b9846b76d298fa4ee5bb3e1810314692019688e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 72c | 1,114$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.92 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 49c | 1,017$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 32c | 829.94$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.36 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 68c | 699.13$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.41 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 72c | 624.23$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.05 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Under | 51c | 611.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 77c | 584.93$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.33 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 30c | 565.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.86 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 72c | 559.99$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.99 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 68c | 447.37$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.21 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 415$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 68c | 400.81$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.96 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 27c | 370.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.38 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 33c | 319.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 79c | 305.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 69c | 300.03$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…0740backed Over | 46c | 252.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 26c | 227.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 221.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 205.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 25c | 154.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 70c | 143.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 10c | 140$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Under | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 68c | 110.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 44c | 97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 68c | 95.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 85.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 68c | 73.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 30c | 65.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 70c | 62.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 35c | 62.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf19…a6edbacked Over | 80c | 55.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 20c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 47c | 47.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 68c | 43.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 29c | 37.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…5f5ebacked Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 68c | 36.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 68c | 33.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 29.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 73c | 27.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +858.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…14ccbacked Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 66c | 24.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 68c | 21.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 61c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 68c | 19.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Over | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Over | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.