Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5360d1a869eaa869f5dbeb48e426b5e57964592bd75cc039d4b626ba54d54592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 17c | 1,711$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.02 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 55c | 640.24$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.8 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 16c | 541.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.94 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 3c | 509.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.06 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 8cpaid | +573.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 413.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.89 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 336.95$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.82 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 10c | 300.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.54 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 32c | 273.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 12c | 260.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 7c | 215$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Under | 12c | 180.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Under | 47c | 158.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 15c | 147$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 12c | 145.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 52c | 126.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked Under | 29c | 121.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 66c | 102.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…49a4backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 53c | 98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 49c | 88.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 31c | 84.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +858.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 80c | 66.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over | 42c | 28.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 43c | 25.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Over | 63c | 20.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…7ab8backed Over | 68c | 20.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 64c | 18.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.