Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38b63838a5bdf16a5902691d5e733a637e8b5128d6bf9a832300caa86c5ab7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 34c | 655.49$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 627.86$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.33 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 66c | 424.3$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 42c | 364.72$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 60c | 222.8$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 158 | 72.2%114 W · 44 L | +34.3wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 56c | 105.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 50c | 76.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 48c | 62.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 56.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…5f5ebacked Yes | 51c | 49.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 50c | 38.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 33.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Yes | 78c | 32.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 25.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…9b7cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff4…c45cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…6badbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.