MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c8afb6592139223a02d0a102c46e59ea93a77af08b45d3f95ed3d52082ca5a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Seattle Mariners, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $913,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $985,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $913,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 315,810$175,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175,695.7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 141,082$66,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,001.03 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 126,574$56,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,217.63 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 94,440$41,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,886.46 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 55,803$29,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,547.4 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 54,424$29,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,886.41 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 48,801$22,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,352.64 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 44,444$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.76 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 22,929$12,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,214.24 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 19,165$9,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,157.44 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 16,263$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,944.56 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 15,711$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,288.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…92adbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 13,800$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 11,982$6,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,362.01 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 11,293$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.81 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 10,499$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.81 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 10,200$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Seattle Mariners | 0c | 8,137$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 7,685$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.22 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 6,734$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.42 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 5,876$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.62 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 5,555$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.15 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 5,362$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.78 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 5,204$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Seattle Mariners | 37c | 4,400$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 3,865$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.22 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…b112backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,625$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,495$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.42 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,293$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,920$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,890$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 2,838$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 2,713$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.02 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,641$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.55 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,570$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.75 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,334$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.54 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,237$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.72 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 2,200$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 2,079$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 2,018$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,909$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.67 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Seattle Mariners | 10c | 1,793$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 16c | 1,779$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,772$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.08 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 1,634$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…3920backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,608$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,590$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.5 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,584$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 80c | 1,525$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.17 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,361$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.69 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.16 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…0934backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,204$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,080$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,080$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 1,056$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…d001backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Seattle Mariners | 22c | 1,023$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas City Royals | 75c | 1,014$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,010$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 849.05$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 769.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.39 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 756.17$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.45 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 754.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 673.75$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.56 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 650$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 627.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.05 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 600$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 584.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 577.15$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.58 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 575.21$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.11 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Seattle Mariners | 6c | 572.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 551.38$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.37 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 550$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 549.22$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.66 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.