Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc9feaad436fa81048d9b86ff08b50b2e5bfc9436012295f739738e759fdbdc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $627,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $709,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $627,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 58c | 85,894$49,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,642.82 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 47c | 46,379$21,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,704.37 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 49c | 43,402$21,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,088.71 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…9192backed Team Liquid | 39c | 25,187$9,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,364.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.95 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 23,957$12,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,866.69 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Team Falcons | 60c | 23,097$13,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,877.33 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Liquid | 44c | 21,269$9,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,985.58 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 21,175$10,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,127.66 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…a5b2backed Team Falcons | 61c | 20,509$12,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,561.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 19,736$10,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,585.89 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 18,172$6,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,186.36 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 65c | 17,722$11,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,145.46 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Team Liquid | 38c | 17,405$6,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,802.36 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Liquid | 43c | 16,050$6,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,205.5 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 57c | 12,160$6,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.65 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Liquid | 51c | 11,491$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630.52 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid | 42c | 11,169$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,467.49 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 10,400$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980.58 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 51c | 10,224$5,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.6 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Team Falcons | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 52c | 9,650$5,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 46c | 9,391$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.27 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Team Falcons | 47c | 7,001$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Liquid | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons | 61c | 5,763$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.66 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Liquid | 53c | 5,625$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.53 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 5,296$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.41 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 4,538$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 38c | 4,454$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.78 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Team Liquid | 59c | 4,303$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.87 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 53c | 4,186$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.2 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Team Liquid | 44c | 4,091$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.09 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 4,042$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.98 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 4,041$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.07 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Team Falcons | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed Team Falcons | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 3,979$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 3,673$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.25 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,646$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…b9c0backed Team Falcons | 65c | 3,500$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.95 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 3,261$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.04 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 51c | 3,067$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.48 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 48c | 3,024$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.66 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 39c | 3,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Team Liquid | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,940$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 47c | 2,931$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.1 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid | 37c | 2,787$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.65 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 56c | 2,657$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.06 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Team Liquid | 35c | 2,591$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.43 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 2,525$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.02 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Team Liquid | 52c | 2,396$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.14 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 17c | 2,361$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 2,353$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.46 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Team Liquid | 35c | 2,285$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.05 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Team Falcons | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 40c | 2,227$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.58 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…bcd7backed Team Falcons | 18c | 2,172$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.04 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,040$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.47 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Team Liquid | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Team Liquid | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 51c | 2,000$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.16 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Liquid | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Team Falcons | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.96 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,861$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.7 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons | 5c | 1,815$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7625…78dbbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 1,774$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,704$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.76 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,699$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.44 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 1,693$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.93 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,677$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.01 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,630$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.92 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,620$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.4 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…36e8backed Team Falcons | 36c | 1,588$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,540$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.89 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,529$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,500$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.84 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,466$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.31 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,455$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,449$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.64 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 1,444$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.98 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 1,400$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.79 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 40c | 1,355$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.87 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Falcons | 17c | 1,293$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.73 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Team Falcons | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,230$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.3 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,169$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.