Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e255336565dddb7fe576d686b2c667bb1fcfc1951f2ffdb1770a8188eeafbca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 2,906$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.89 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 2,594$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.5 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Yes | 65c | 2,381$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 38c | 719.55$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.03 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 537.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.92 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 33c | 521.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…2839backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 60c | 322.8$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 63c | 314.29$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 48c | 290.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.27 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 67c | 290.52$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 62c | 266.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 37c | 255.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 251.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 37c | 199.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 63c | 135$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 9c | 131.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 62c | 106.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 63c | 103.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Yes | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 81.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 62c | 76.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 72c | 67.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 64c | 41.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Yes | 64c | 41.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Yes | 63c | 39.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 62c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…14ccbacked Yes | 63c | 25.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 200 | 41%82 W · 118 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…225ebacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9faf…7d1fbacked Yes | 60c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.