TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Under61c110,798$67,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,306.711369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over40c22,885$9,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,082.431,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over39c15,438$6,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,026.1450450%252 W · 252 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over39c7,081$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.051,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over39c6,400$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49614652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over39c4,800$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87213155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c4,729$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.134,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over39c2,998$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.371,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over38c2,988$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.2818238.5%70 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over39c2,800$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09215255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over37c2,725$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.3391435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over39c2,400$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93614158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over39c2,368$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.529254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over39c2,169$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.333751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c2,004$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.5459847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7807959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over39c1,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62417062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over39c1,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62414459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over12c1,513$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6472442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over39c1,500$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58856051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under61c1,465$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.2811750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over39c1,417$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.55246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over39c1,204$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46814355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46812157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over41c1,123$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.383850%19 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over39c1,040$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.612757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over39c1,040$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.613855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under62c968.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.4720447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over37c951.47$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.0435652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over39c900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35118156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over39c900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35116858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over39c897$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8321056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c890.48$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.066,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over39c762$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over38c702$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7696443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over39c640$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.614354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over39c624$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3614658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over39c624$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3613858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24623258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over39c560$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over39c560$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.410960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c510.53$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1949724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c477.95$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8459332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over36c430$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.877342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over37c417.8$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over39c406$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.921,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15612558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over40c398.57$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4711449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over37c338$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over39c333$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.873522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over39c320$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.87261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8711828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over31c299.33$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.812136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under74c216.63$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over39c180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.615444.8%69 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Over41c180$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.83161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2922242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.411457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507450%37 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under77c131.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.291850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Over42c125$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4bf…f385backed Under62c93.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.671376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Over42c91.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.62556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…6eebbacked Under60c84.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over20c77.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8136545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over39c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.357853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over39c64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over40c60.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.049345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over39c56.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210534.3%36 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under62c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.655160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202528%7 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over40c49.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over38c47.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over39c41.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611250.9%57 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Under59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.43464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under66c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.046338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde7f…b67cbacked Under70c38.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.35366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over41c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.943943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…83d3backed Over44c30.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over42c29.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4622057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.255761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.257363%46 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Under61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5917755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…4943backed Under64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.