Premier League · resolved market
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2fddf8012f6bf204abe364ec2609c4a5c325e8ba1aff9598d17605bfc5d03a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottingham Forest FCof AFC Bournemouth, Nottingham Forest FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest FC | 78c | 2,535$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.73 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed AFC Bournemouth | 27c | 1,713$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed AFC Bournemouth | 8c | 1,077$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked AFC Bournemouth | 24c | 750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed AFC Bournemouth | 27c | 640.74$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed AFC Bournemouth | 5c | 450.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed AFC Bournemouth | 27c | 361.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked AFC Bournemouth | 27c | 243.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 188.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed AFC Bournemouth | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 135.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Nottingham Forest FC | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed AFC Bournemouth | 26c | 94.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 65.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 73cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nottingham Forest FC | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.