Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc972bf26b6eeefdfa81ff5a82c90aeae1d283c08b86eb96a091d8064c984f569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 8,138$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.98 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 41c | 3,650$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Over | 60c | 3,558$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…f538backed Under | 41c | 2,576$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 2,371$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.89 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 2,011$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.05 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 1,992$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.14 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 38c | 1,823$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.26 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 61c | 1,807$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.28 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 63c | 1,309$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.56 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.96 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over | 74c | 1,192$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 40c | 1,108$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.53 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 37c | 1,106$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.22 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 37c | 1,001$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.61 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 40c | 968.3$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.99 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 40c | 934.15$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.49 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 59c | 686.55$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.07 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 40c | 662.82$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.57 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 646.23$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.61 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 40c | 632.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.65 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 62c | 501.61$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…d3f4backed Over | 58c | 456.9$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 52c | 436.54$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 63c | 394.94$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 63c | 394.94$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 332.68$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Over | 60c | 329.91$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 52c | 286.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 49c | 285.36$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Over | 60c | 258.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 237.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 230.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 62c | 208.69$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 62c | 200$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 40c | 196.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 53c | 187.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 33c | 185.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 178.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 41c | 140.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked Under | 38c | 124.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 41c | 123.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 40c | 110.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Under | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 59c | 102.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 99.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 46c | 95.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 59c | 90.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 62c | 89.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 60c | 83.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 74.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 40c | 74.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 52c | 67.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 60c | 58.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 52c | 58.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 70c | 56.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 47.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 39c | 42.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 38c | 42.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 28c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 200 | 41%82 W · 118 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 52c | 40.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 218 | 57.3%125 W · 93 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.