TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0005145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c8,138$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,340.986,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under41c3,650$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1604151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Over60c3,558$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.581566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd54a…f538backed Under41c2,576$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.841080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over53c2,371$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.8981234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c2,011$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.052,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c1,992$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.1475542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under38c1,823$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.266567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over61c1,807$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.282740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over63c1,309$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.5611750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under38c1,200$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.966058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over74c1,192$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.281752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under40c1,108$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.5310634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over37c1,106$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.226139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under37c1,001$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.6115233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60012562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over62c999.99$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6206439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under40c968.3$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.9922049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under40c934.15$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.491190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick56cpaid+71.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under40c875$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52521056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over59c686.55$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.071,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under40c662.82$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.5741850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c646.23$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6174644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under40c632.75$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6545249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over62c501.61$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3113043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe275…d3f4backed Over58c456.9$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over52c436.54$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2271241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over63c394.94$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8116753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over63c394.94$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c332.68$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.557847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over60c329.91$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.952055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over52c286.54$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492524%6 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over49c285.36$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9312136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Over60c258.33$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1554055%22 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c237.78$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.484,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over50c230.89$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.869742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over62c208.69$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.39825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over62c200$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12355351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over61c199.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9910147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under40c196.83$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7232951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over53c187.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2577236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under33c185.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7622443.8%98 W · 126 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c178.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2554132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under41c140.15$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6914463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over60c133.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Under38c124.59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.251040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under41c123.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.656338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over68c110.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under40c110.19$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1810534.3%36 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Under41c102.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.442740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over59c102.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4415740.1%63 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over47c102.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441675%12 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+62.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over53c99.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.319549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over46c95.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1536545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under59c90.15$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.573046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Over62c89.79$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.672528%7 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over60c83.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.024353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under32c83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4441243.4%179 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c74.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9169651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over40c74.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8925256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0522645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.655254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under38c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.46053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over52c67.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.571,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over59c59.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under56c58.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.931764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over60c58.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over52c58.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4321250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over70c56.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.653161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under35c55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.75160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Over76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over54c48.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c47.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.153240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under39c42.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.057959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Over38c42.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.172245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under28c42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3920041%82 W · 118 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over52c40.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3121857.3%125 W · 93 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.