South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdce6976bebeb1feef627b0e2a3b19e2f7ac9cf484a20133d78d91972432eb176
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 62c | 37,321$23,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,130.67 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 15,176$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,403.36 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 38c | 6,932$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,297.6 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 38c | 6,579$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.95 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 42c | 5,550$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.83 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 4,806$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 16c | 3,816$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.5 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 38c | 2,253$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.86 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 1,434$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 38c | 1,368$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.44 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 1,251$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.22 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 61c | 1,051$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.28 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Over | 63c | 701.59$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Under | 38c | 560$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.2 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 41c | 557.49$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.92 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 38c | 536.32$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.52 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 48c | 509.69$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.7 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 55c | 499.95$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 38c | 493.34$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.87 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 53c | 482.69$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 63c | 429.69$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Under | 38c | 413.16$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.16 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 57c | 412.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.89 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Under | 55c | 398.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 38c | 394$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.28 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 38c | 391.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 38c | 380$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.91 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 79c | 342$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.71 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 307.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.93 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 36c | 263.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 38c | 244.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 59c | 235.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 38c | 225$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…708cbacked Under | 55c | 215.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 39c | 195.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 56c | 179.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 53c | 175.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 60c | 165.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 56c | 122.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…89ebbacked Under | 64c | 114.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 38c | 102.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 36c | 97.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5312backed Over | 62c | 88.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Under | 30c | 82.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under | 38c | 79.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 38c | 66.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…14ccbacked Under | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 47c | 60.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 38c | 55.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 47c | 50.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…0740backed Under | 73c | 44.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 49c | 42.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 38c | 41.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 38c | 39.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Under | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 50c | 31.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…05eabacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 49c | 21.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…0d8cbacked Over | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 60c | 18.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 16.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)CS Cienciano won
- Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.