South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a86a18e8bfe23707010e4011da0fc7feab4b65dee88934fe2b04c43ab64c417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 7,591$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.24 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 62c | 5,448$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.7 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 3,992$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed No | 63c | 3,284$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 36c | 3,001$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.52 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 2,948$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 64c | 2,865$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.39 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed No | 63c | 2,749$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 2,237$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed No | 64c | 2,149$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 59c | 2,105$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.84 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked No | 62c | 2,050$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 1,607$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.41 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 39c | 1,436$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.94 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 1,303$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.65 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,239$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 38c | 1,160$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.81 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 60c | 1,019$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.1 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 62c | 603.2$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 502.17$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.48 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 36c | 458.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 41c | 451.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 42c | 450.35$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 207.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 40c | 166.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 41c | 145$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 61c | 119.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 17c | 112.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 34c | 103.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 42c | 102.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Yes | 40c | 99.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Yes | 41c | 93.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 15c | 91.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 40c | 87.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 38c | 86.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 37c | 83.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 39c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 39c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 28c | 57.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Yes | 40c | 55.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 59c | 45.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 41c | 45.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 37c | 43.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 36.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 41c | 34.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Yes | 40c | 33.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 32.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…a218backed No | 61c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Yes | 39c | 30.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 41c | 29.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 35c | 29.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 61c | 20.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 60c | 20.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed No | 75c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)CS Cienciano won
- Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.