South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcff4b47c2ba8048aab6df68ae3d4c6cdbb35bb267d450dee16a89cc2d61a3f19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 40c | 27,258$10,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,874.36 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 60c | 12,102$7,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.98 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 60c | 3,765$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 62c | 2,359$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.95 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 60c | 2,268$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.2 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 1,573$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 62c | 912.36$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.87 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 818.63$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.76 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 38c | 716.89$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.89 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 33c | 650.19$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 60c | 618.33$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.33 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 540.62$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 60c | 477$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 476.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.54 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 266.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 61c | 204$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Under | 60c | 164.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 63c | 157.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…54cdbacked Under | 60c | 151.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 59c | 141.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…89ebbacked Under | 61c | 111.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Under | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Over | 39c | 80.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 62c | 76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 37c | 52.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 53c | 48.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 30.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 69c | 29.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 44c | 26.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)CS Cienciano won
- Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.