South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd1f6851323dce9df6dac7f62569b03a3089cdc736de220fdac6f0abc4d6984
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Mineiroof CA Mineiro, CS Cienciano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed CA Mineiro | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.99 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed CS Cienciano | 38c | 6,371$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.92 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79bd…5c31backed CS Cienciano | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Mineiro | 61c | 1,249$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed CA Mineiro | 58c | 1,157$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.06 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Mineiro | 66c | 712.05$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CS Cienciano | 42c | 707.1$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked CA Mineiro | 60c | 662.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.1 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked CS Cienciano | 42c | 572.75$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed CS Cienciano | 27c | 504.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed CS Cienciano | 38c | 486.84$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed CA Mineiro | 59c | 299.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked CS Cienciano | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CS Cienciano | 40c | 112.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed CS Cienciano | 42c | 95.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked CA Mineiro | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CA Mineiro | 60c | 89.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked CA Mineiro | 62c | 79.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CS Cienciano | 40c | 64.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CS Cienciano | 42c | 59.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Mineiro | 59c | 56.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…46a8backed CS Cienciano | 42c | 55.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed CA Mineiro | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed CS Cienciano | 42c | 38.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb9…bb03backed CS Cienciano | 41c | 32.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed CS Cienciano | 40c | 31.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed CA Mineiro | 57c | 22.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CA Mineiro | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)this page
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-2.5)CS Cienciano won
- Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.