MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf620b729b2cc61a708e7748f8a9e8ff3f963735581b2cd94d514883fe5b56bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $661,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $766,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $661,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 98,994$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 48,098$22,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,280.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 37,137$18,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,939.73 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 35,278$15,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,950.38 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 26,975$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 19,647$9,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,823.6 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 18,956$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 15,054$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,553.91 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 14,351$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.34 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 13,831$7,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328.18 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 13,375$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.17 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 11,719$5,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,859.25 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 10,755$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.9 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd625…4d7cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 10,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.88 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 8,576$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.5 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.85 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d0…be29backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 7,691$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 7,630$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 7,244$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.37 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 6,610$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,488.97 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 5,303$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.68 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 5,271$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.74 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 5,001$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.59 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 4,583$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.38 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 3,340$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.02 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,170$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.21 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 2,806$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 2,723$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.07 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,693$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.51 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 2,690$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.59 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 2,349$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…f0c7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,166$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 2,132$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.57 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.94 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,947$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.72 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 1,875$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,733$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.19 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 1,713$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.6 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,590$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.6 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,573$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,565$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,532$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.85 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 1,396$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,360$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,285$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.37 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,250$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.03 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,224$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.38 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,105$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.11 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.82 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,049$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,036$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.02 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.92 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,003$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.56 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…2bd0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 999.85$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.92 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 909.92$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 850$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 838.32$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.27 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 831.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.91 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 810$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 787.5$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 725.07$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.24 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 689$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 677.96$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.11 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 658.81$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.76 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 628$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.56 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 617.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 599.92$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 578.31$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.72 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 573.79$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.63 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 544.39$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.39 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 520.83$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.09 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 507.28$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.71 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.