Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x185bd9e2f7af5f22381642ac96bd38355bc056995ef0878731cc1a7084446c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 65c | 3,068$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 35c | 3,027$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.92 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 1,352$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.2 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 35c | 255.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 64c | 233.53$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 64c | 231.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 65c | 227.69$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 35c | 195.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 32c | 193.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 64c | 165.42$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 65c | 155.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 36c | 140.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 67c | 119.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 118.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Yes | 68c | 102.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 84.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 64c | 78.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 67c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 76.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 64c | 71.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 33c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 53.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 74c | 46.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 307 | 31.9%98 W · 209 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…f0dcbacked Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Yes | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 64c | 24.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…4fbcbacked Yes | 69c | 21.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…14ccbacked Yes | 65c | 15.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.