Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a28fb6e21d8a6db1bf0b10179041ba7d0ec1a7e73a619038d3dbecaf027e3a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 66c | 3,031$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 67c | 1,738$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 34c | 1,333$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.24 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 1,026$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.07 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 739.86$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 76c | 408.95$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 399.04$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 33c | 318$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 304.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 79c | 303$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 34c | 296.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 255.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Under | 34c | 237.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 67c | 220.55$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 33c | 164.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 64c | 141.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 34c | 105.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 87.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 71.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 35c | 57.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over | 66c | 52.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 35c | 41.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 37c | 40.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 37c | 40.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 66c | 29.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.