Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa24973c205c51c93401d1f32069a45024192fff082de9a91117c91b5156df4ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 4,476$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.85 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 4,130$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 15c | 1,477$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,475$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.96 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 33c | 841.24$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.99 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Under | 13c | 733.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 77c | 447.1$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.8 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 24c | 444$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.44 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 294.11$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 253.44$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.94 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 68c | 147.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 64c | 111.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 97.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 68.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 55c | 61.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 76c | 58.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 49c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over | 24c | 46.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 76c | 31.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 76c | 17.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 75c | 14.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.