Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa415289b9606ff9ac71663139935413496d3d7b5980a9b8a307e17c3c7175d55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 44c | 9,345$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,244.96 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 2,889$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.04 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 2,614$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.43 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 2,529$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.67 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 2,466$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.09 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 2,464$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 54c | 1,796$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.3 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 675$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 56c | 520$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 56c | 520$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 43c | 326.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.28 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 56c | 312$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 56c | 312$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 56c | 280$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 56c | 277$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 56c | 189.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 56c | 186.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 177.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 106$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 91.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 43c | 59.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over | 45c | 58.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 45c | 49.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 45c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Under | 58c | 34.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 30.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 56c | 28.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 57c | 28.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 43c | 24.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ef…c4b2backed Under | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 57c | 18.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.