TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Clubof Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club, Al Ittihad Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,857 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club69c3,326$2,296 inWon+$1,029.842,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club33c2,896$959 inLost-$958.883619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club57c1,772$1,003 inWon+$768.965,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club58c1,174$677 inLost-$677.382,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club22c1,017$224 inWon+$793.621,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club6c609.99$37 inLost-$36.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club53c503.96$268 inLost-$268.369352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club31c299$93 inLost-$92.6910525.7%27 W · 78 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club79c252.22$200 inLost-$20013463.4%85 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club56c178.57$100 inLost-$10017440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club67c104.13$69 inWon+$34.672,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club51c103.6$53 inLost-$52.611,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club76c88.84$67 inLost-$67.1439954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club21c77.22$16 inWon+$611,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club75c50$38 inLost-$37.522544%99 W · 126 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club25c40$10 inWon+$30683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+82.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club49c39.02$19 inWon+$19.7396846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club47c29.98$14 inWon+$15.8932457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club80c25$20 inLost-$20850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club67c21$14 inWon+$6.932572%18 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Al Ittihad Saudi Club73c20$15 inLost-$14.556445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.