Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ae7ae3c50fa37bd49e863bb2d90d1ba885aa30fac1760e46d1436b73609e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Florida Gators, Kentucky Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,256 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Kentucky Wildcats | 49c | 21,547$10,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,557.81 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Florida Gators | 51c | 19,825$10,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,714.28 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Florida Gators | 51c | 1,303$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.37 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 435.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Florida Gators | 52c | 417.82$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.65 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 396.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.81 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Gators | 50c | 394.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.42 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Kentucky Wildcats | 48c | 346.01$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Florida Gators | 51c | 228.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…06d8backed Florida Gators | 50c | 218.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Florida Gators | 66c | 214.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…42fbbacked Florida Gators | 51c | 206.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 147.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kentucky Wildcats | 43c | 132.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida Gators | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Kentucky Wildcats | 49c | 97.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Florida Gators | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 48c | 72.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Florida Gators | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Florida Gators | 54c | 40.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kentucky Wildcats | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Florida Gators | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 29.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Gators | 54c | 23.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Florida Gators | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6152…6074backed Florida Gators | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Florida Gators | 53c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-5.5)this page
- Florida Gators vs. Kentucky WildcatsFlorida Gators won
- Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 160.5Over won
- Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 161.5Under won
- Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-6.5)Florida Gators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.