Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x437134aa59cfcb6f780c78f4a6ba1d807a682b6c27534121240ae477f559dfaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof TCU Horned Frogs, Baylor Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Baylor Bears | 64c | 4,703$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Baylor Bears | 9c | 3,751$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.62 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed TCU Horned Frogs | 29c | 3,433$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.07 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baylor Bears | 30c | 2,960$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.16 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears | 63c | 1,852$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 1,391$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.96 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baylor Bears | 57c | 1,176$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.26 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 1,133$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 36c | 826.49$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.75 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed TCU Horned Frogs | 64c | 583.47$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baylor Bears | 31c | 574.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.84 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Baylor Bears | 55c | 561.29$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.66 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Baylor Bears | 48c | 543$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.98 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3b…3029backed Baylor Bears | 2c | 442.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 36c | 438$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.75 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Baylor Bears | 66c | 408.6$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.68 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Baylor Bears | 25c | 403.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Baylor Bears | 35c | 355.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Baylor Bears | 60c | 346.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.37 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baylor Bears | 67c | 330.31$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.31 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears | 65c | 324.14$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 59c | 314.42$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed TCU Horned Frogs | 37c | 284.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.26 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf8…3397backed TCU Horned Frogs | 35c | 254.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 42c | 238.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed TCU Horned Frogs | 68c | 223.75$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed TCU Horned Frogs | 36c | 208$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Baylor Bears | 7c | 204.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Baylor Bears | 64c | 198$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Baylor Bears | 62c | 197.51$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed TCU Horned Frogs | 36c | 190.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.45 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Baylor Bears | 65c | 190.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed TCU Horned Frogs | 39c | 187.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baylor Bears | 43c | 179.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 35c | 165$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed TCU Horned Frogs | 31c | 156.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 37c | 155$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 136.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 29c | 124.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed TCU Horned Frogs | 30c | 118.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…ec33backed Baylor Bears | 41c | 109.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 30c | 100.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Baylor Bears | 63c | 95.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Baylor Bears | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Baylor Bears | 58c | 64.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…7f21backed Baylor Bears | 43c | 59.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 55.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 39c | 54.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 68c | 54.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…943fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 37c | 52.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Baylor Bears | 64c | 43.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed TCU Horned Frogs | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 35.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Baylor Bears | 37c | 34.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed TCU Horned Frogs | 71c | 33.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…aecfbacked Baylor Bears | 63c | 33.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Baylor Bears | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 58c | 29.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…2c75backed TCU Horned Frogs | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Baylor Bears | 65c | 27.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Baylor Bears | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…a90fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 76c | 16.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Baylor Bears | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bearsthis page
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-4.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 147.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 148.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.