La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d99cf91256fc738b868bc805d5979428be22194418bb638f92c59270d7d078f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 3,380$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.96 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed No | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 51c | 861.23$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.29 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 542.48$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.35 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked No | 51c | 490.1$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed No | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 352.62$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.66 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 50c | 288$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 50c | 199.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes | 50c | 199.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 51c | 198.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Yes | 51c | 197.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 48c | 195.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 51c | 189.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 49c | 161.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed No | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +212.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 11c | 159.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 51c | 141.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 133.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 51c | 108.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 49c | 108.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Yes | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed No | 14c | 86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 67c | 74.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 53.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 49c | 45.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…8ae5backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed No | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…6a64backed Yes | 51c | 38.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed No | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…32f3backed No | 50c | 33.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 50c | 32.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed No | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.