La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x293c44887546fbebeedfa06c57bc95f3c3e00ad7720f6f7df8e629923a238485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 15,377$7,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,389.09 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 16c | 4,033$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.4 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b6…36debacked Over | 63c | 2,781$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 42c | 1,588$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.96 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 69c | 1,232$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 38c | 1,189$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.91 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 1,065$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.26 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 54c | 1,015$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 1,007$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 13c | 980$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Over | 43c | 976.74$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 51c | 914.83$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.82 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3c…38c1backed Under | 74c | 881.95$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 830.63$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.35 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 57c | 641.48$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.83 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 545.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.12 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 42c | 539.21$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 80c | 463.38$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 56c | 441.93$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Under | 59c | 420.32$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 57c | 400.05$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 62c | 399.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.99 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 51c | 392.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 57c | 392.12$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.61 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 33c | 383$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 55c | 345$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 72c | 330$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 27c | 310.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.77 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Over | 43c | 274.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 244.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…8745backed Over | 52c | 223.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Over | 42c | 219.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 49c | 206.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 54c | 197.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa260…e820backed Over | 51c | 184.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 11c | 179.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +212.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 35c | 171.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 58c | 149.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 42c | 142$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under | 72c | 138.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 42c | 138.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 31c | 138$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Over | 15c | 124$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 31c | 112.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 70c | 108$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 58c | 101.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 38c | 94.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked Over | 42c | 91.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 57c | 88.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc078…f854backed Over | 42c | 87.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Under | 66c | 84.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 58c | 84.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 42c | 80.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 42c | 78.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Over | 61c | 78.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 46c | 69.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 38c | 67.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 57c | 58.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 59c | 56.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Over | 75c | 54.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 31c | 49.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…8f5dbacked Over | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 65c | 46.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 67c | 45.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 35c | 45.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 65c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.