TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde18…83bcbacked Under32c16,000$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,119.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c3,610$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.184,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Over66c3,023$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over68c2,573$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.3650449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over69c2,175$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.254663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over76c1,718$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.2112875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under25c1,041$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.835832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac86…b3b3backed Over69c853.83$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under31c761.16$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9638729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.294445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Over73c633.17$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.92152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over77c597.63$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over58c473.41$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4117458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.184946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over68c441$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1223250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under29c363.38$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.413,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c284.63$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.112,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under36c278.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over63c243.59$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.441,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3883…d357backed Over80c229.25$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.399549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a9c…c9c4backed Over69c198.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.69757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under32c192.47$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.595230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under33c184.28$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.811,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under23c183.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2117044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over56c178.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over70c171.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4322357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.215246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9322157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under31c140.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.151,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8750…0841backed Over67c136.15$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over59c125$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over55c119$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2512944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over68c103.94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2611354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2714759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Over55c99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.461747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under51c98.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.917855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.511947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.513249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under15c87.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6314259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7111651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3334050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over62c79.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.764165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Over68c74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under33c73.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.313053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over68c65.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.938155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.564055%22 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over60c51.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6738748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over68c44.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0920245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.673240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa260…e820backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under30c36.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0312042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.67037.1%26 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.74843.8%21 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993488.2%30 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992592%23 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick71cpaid+30.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994283.3%35 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dc0…0633backed Over76c27.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.63650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over69c24.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5541147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Over68c20.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f47…63d7backed Over69c19.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Over68c19.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.11887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Over68c18.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.873246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8529…b973backed Over60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.