Cricket · resolved market
Punjab Kings vs. Mumbai Indians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5db7b023c3de2199064a32ead1c22e33bfe98379ab159d7158b83389db9b7e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Punjab Kingsof Punjab Kings, Mumbai Indians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6cc…b1dcbacked Mumbai Indians | 60c | 32,055$19,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,237.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…d495backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 31,850$19,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,428.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…5873backed Punjab Kings | 40c | 31,625$12,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,975 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…1c86backed Punjab Kings | 39c | 31,400$12,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,154 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Mumbai Indians | 60c | 7,474$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Punjab Kings | 41c | 2,809$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.01 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Punjab Kings | 40c | 2,232$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed Punjab Kings | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…3e7dbacked Punjab Kings | 41c | 1,939$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.7 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…2b66backed Punjab Kings | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeeb…e314backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 1,192$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…eb54backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 1,108$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…b568backed Punjab Kings | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Punjab Kings | 41c | 1,075$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.61 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…6d7abacked Punjab Kings | 39c | 1,002$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mumbai Indians | 59c | 886.8$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mumbai Indians | 57c | 842.48$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mumbai Indians | 62c | 777.57$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Punjab Kings | 39c | 771.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mumbai Indians | 57c | 379.06$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Punjab Kings | 39c | 356.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.41 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Mumbai Indians | 57c | 332.56$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…874bbacked Mumbai Indians | 61c | 328.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Mumbai Indians | 62c | 312.22$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…ddacbacked Punjab Kings | 39c | 238.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…0af5backed Punjab Kings | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Punjab Kings | 40c | 220.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…76a5backed Mumbai Indians | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…b123backed Punjab Kings | 39c | 142.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…5ce1backed Mumbai Indians | 60c | 122$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 107.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Punjab Kings | 59c | 101.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Mumbai Indians | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Punjab Kings | 39c | 96.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…16e5backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…6159backed Punjab Kings | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…3d5bbacked Punjab Kings | 40c | 69.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 64.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d2…6b85backed Punjab Kings | 40c | 51.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…c720backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 51.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…1977backed Punjab Kings | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc6…3bb9backed Punjab Kings | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Punjab Kings | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Mumbai Indians | 50c | 42.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Punjab Kings | 40c | 40.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…aafcbacked Punjab Kings | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…db34backed Mumbai Indians | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Mumbai Indians | 40c | 26.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…0a21backed Punjab Kings | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Mumbai Indians | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Mumbai Indians | 60c | 18.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.