Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb625acca1621ecbadc8b869eac21282e91a71449ade1ea4efbb9670a42654e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x681d…08aabacked Yes | 72c | 10,616$7,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 25c | 10,101$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.76 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 10,061$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.39 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 27c | 8,982$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…d63fbacked No | 21c | 7,075$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…740dbacked Yes | 79c | 6,366$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…067ebacked Yes | 74c | 5,675$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60bb…a448backed No | 20c | 4,000$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…ba7fbacked No | 21c | 3,957$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b5…7ec8backed Yes | 72c | 3,500$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 75c | 2,648$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked No | 12c | 2,093$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed No | 20c | 1,976$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…6dc5backed No | 10c | 1,875$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 16c | 1,846$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed No | 28c | 1,834$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,823$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 11c | 1,775$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Yes | 62c | 1,612$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Yes | 72c | 1,585$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed No | 27c | 1,554$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed No | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 22c | 1,469$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 77c | 1,456$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.68 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed No | 4c | 1,372$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d3…ae43backed Yes | 60c | 1,371$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…133fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,369$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c0…186dbacked No | 39c | 1,276$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7452…5ccbbacked No | 27c | 1,242$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…43bbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,122$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…799dbacked No | 23c | 1,086$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 18c | 1,043$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdc…ab84backed Yes | 76c | 999.98$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 10c | 920.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed No | 17c | 876.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94ef…0f6abacked No | 25c | 817.01$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 16c | 811.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed No | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 32c | 749.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…a510backed No | 32c | 732.81$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…0e24backed Yes | 74c | 679.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed No | 15c | 650$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 79c | 641.84$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…4c2fbacked Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed No | 3c | 630$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3a…6835backed Yes | 73c | 544.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…82f1backed Yes | 73c | 539.73$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 32c | 516.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed No | 39c | 509$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c8…c1c9backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aed…5ebebacked Yes | 69c | 500$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed No | 42c | 499.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…2052backed Yes | 78c | 499$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…45b1backed Yes | 59c | 471.21$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 16c | 470$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…2bc6backed Yes | 73c | 447.19$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…a2d9backed No | 10c | 439.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954f…65eebacked No | 36c | 428.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…b588backed Yes | 73c | 417.13$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 73c | 408.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed No | 19c | 383.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…81c0backed No | 30c | 376.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…ac7fbacked No | 35c | 366.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…6182backed Yes | 75c | 355.45$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fa…d648backed No | 33c | 307.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe33…a377backed No | 15c | 301.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…e94fbacked No | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca7…04d4backed No | 33c | 295.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…9ab7backed Yes | 72c | 288.83$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…9f23backed No | 35c | 283.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f6…05bfbacked Yes | 72c | 283.07$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…4e20backed No | 36c | 280.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abf…7c9abacked Yes | 73c | 274.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6d32backed No | 37c | 260.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed No | 10c | 256$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0530…d8febacked No | 33c | 249.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 64c | 248.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed Yes | 62c | 242.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…11a1backed No | 36c | 225.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb4…c292backed Yes | 67c | 224.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 77c | 222$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed No | 8c | 211.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…1a7abacked Yes | 73c | 206.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…561dbacked Yes | 78c | 205.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 24c | 202.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…9593backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…d07ebacked Yes | 65c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked No | 26c | 195$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…8e1cbacked Yes | 73c | 188.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…26b5backed Yes | 74c | 178.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…3ac2backed No | 36c | 175.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…b95dbacked No | 34c | 175.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…2245backed No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…31a4backed No | 9c | 170.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352e…6f9cbacked Yes | 73c | 169.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd103…0cf2backed Yes | 73c | 167.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…2b2cbacked No | 9c | 163.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 64c | 156.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8042…94d9backed Yes | 71c | 155$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 79c | 153.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.