Cricket · resolved market
ICC WWC: Australia vs. Pakistan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3cb9c324046d859916e715543474af142a5f2997784113640e554031643b998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Australiaof Australia, Pakistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pakistan | 0c | 9,252$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Australia | 51c | 6,005$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed Pakistan | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pakistan | 3c | 2,833$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…4434backed Pakistan | 3c | 1,724$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Pakistan | 4c | 615.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Pakistan | 3c | 555$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Pakistan | 3c | 410.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Pakistan | 41c | 370.33$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Pakistan | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pakistan | 46c | 277.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd367…0957backed Pakistan | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe58f…a52bbacked Pakistan | 11c | 155$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Australia | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Pakistan | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.