TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Cavaliers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$492,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$507,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 529 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks51c104,181$53,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,048.7487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef0…62fdbacked Cavaliers49c70,753$34,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,669.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Cavaliers49c13,755$6,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,74049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers48c13,301$6,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Cavaliers49c11,065$5,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,42238946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks52c10,442$5,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.771,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf12…a58cbacked Cavaliers49c10,071$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,93550%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Bucks52c9,614$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,614.7213142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Bucks58c8,699$5,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,635.0851354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Cavaliers49c8,592$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,21048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Cavaliers49c8,367$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x615f…e71abacked Cavaliers49c7,720$3,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,782.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks51c7,500$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,67558449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Cavaliers49c7,140$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,498.6311457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers49c6,977$3,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bucks51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.351,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bucks52c5,331$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.132,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Bucks51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Bucks51c3,765$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.765750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers48c2,914$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa980…ad52backed Bucks51c2,881$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers48c2,812$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.394,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0468…cb41backed Cavaliers49c2,614$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ee…844fbacked Cavaliers49c2,575$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c7…205dbacked Bucks51c2,523$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8886backed Bucks51c2,520$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0a…2381backed Cavaliers49c2,519$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c50…511ebacked Bucks51c2,514$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f16…598dbacked Bucks51c2,512$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f59…7d89backed Cavaliers49c2,512$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a8…5729backed Cavaliers49c2,509$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x121e…a16bbacked Cavaliers49c2,493$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1f…9dc8backed Bucks51c2,489$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2e9…3ab6backed Cavaliers49c2,482$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44fc…d30cbacked Cavaliers49c2,479$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x772e…c620backed Bucks51c2,479$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191c…d73cbacked Bucks51c2,466$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5601…6e67backed Cavaliers49c2,462$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7446…2ec2backed Bucks51c2,444$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89c…fc4ebacked Cavaliers49c2,425$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad71…f2ebbacked Cavaliers49c2,423$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…ba68backed Bucks51c2,420$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ec…7d3abacked Cavaliers49c2,416$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c8…0513backed Cavaliers49c2,416$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e92…c939backed Bucks51c2,414$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa08…07cfbacked Cavaliers49c2,412$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb00…198ebacked Cavaliers49c2,401$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x608f…553fbacked Cavaliers49c2,398$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaac3…01ecbacked Cavaliers49c2,394$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd05c…223ebacked Cavaliers49c2,391$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1b…e3bebacked Bucks51c2,365$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4eb…1794backed Bucks51c2,358$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.42785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+70%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9163…2794backed Bucks51c2,352$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…42c0backed Bucks51c2,350$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ea…9bdebacked Cavaliers49c2,349$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc27b…9a85backed Bucks51c2,336$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2888…fb1abacked Bucks51c2,335$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf75f…6707backed Bucks51c2,325$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e2…6e85backed Cavaliers49c2,325$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb02e…c47ebacked Cavaliers49c2,322$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8674…4fc6backed Bucks51c2,315$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931d…e42bbacked Bucks51c2,313$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e60…960cbacked Bucks51c2,312$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38c…cc5cbacked Bucks51c2,309$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdb…f1c6backed Bucks51c2,308$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4068…88febacked Bucks51c2,294$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02cc…0686backed Bucks51c2,292$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…8555backed Bucks51c2,289$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe2…336bbacked Bucks51c2,282$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71d9…a425backed Bucks51c2,275$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d4…e0d9backed Bucks51c2,272$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7a…f6c5backed Bucks51c2,272$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a81…a6f3backed Bucks51c2,269$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf82…33efbacked Bucks51c2,268$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc524…fa10backed Cavaliers49c2,266$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c76…aff5backed Bucks51c2,263$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…ce26backed Bucks51c2,260$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd860…e4e0backed Cavaliers49c2,257$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x291e…6921backed Bucks51c2,257$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bb…6a37backed Bucks51c2,254$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d7…f825backed Cavaliers49c2,253$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…ea4cbacked Cavaliers49c2,250$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bucks67c2,241$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.7841954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Bucks67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.8156453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf21…63abbacked Cavaliers49c2,237$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…ac55backed Bucks51c2,237$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05cb…73d0backed Cavaliers49c2,234$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd18…c35fbacked Bucks51c2,226$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd67b…0a4fbacked Cavaliers49c2,225$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…70b2backed Bucks51c2,225$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cf…9ebdbacked Bucks51c2,221$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aac…0fb5backed Bucks51c2,216$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4caf…f8cbbacked Bucks51c2,213$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fc…a026backed Bucks51c2,212$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdf…0173backed Bucks51c2,209$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb359…42fabacked Bucks51c2,207$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6aa…85e7backed Cavaliers49c2,207$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2542…c8c2backed Bucks51c2,206$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb23…0b48backed Bucks51c2,206$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6836…03d4backed Cavaliers49c2,203$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.