TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under52c4,627$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.791,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c3,756$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over50c3,748$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87449246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c3,441$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6093…91dfbacked Under50c2,869$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ae…06a3backed Over50c2,773$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac8…2221backed Under50c2,759$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b0…571dbacked Over50c2,721$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186d…63a4backed Over50c2,718$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x915d…ee97backed Under50c2,683$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…4b8dbacked Under51c2,672$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…71dcbacked Over50c2,657$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x487b…8b70backed Over50c2,634$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c2,608$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.164,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x947f…e37ebacked Under50c2,596$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…8449backed Over50c2,582$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e7c…6bdbbacked Under50c2,506$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over43c1,600$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over50c1,542$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.7735749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…0399backed Under48c1,402$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.961361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb6…8977backed Over52c1,399$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.521643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c754.41$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0427746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over47c544.33$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.220536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over78c410.64$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.61,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19266645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1b…5afdbacked Under8c378.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Under28c360.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under64c313.77$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under65c307.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under50c299.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c246.87$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.442,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over76c237.75$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c219.3$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.813,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…6bffbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983050%15 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c171.17$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.84,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Over38c158.28$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c151.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.821,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under55c150.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0180737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c149.24$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.113,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08aa…0126backed Over36c136.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafbe…8715backed Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+121.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c132.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5851946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under62c131.58$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5869049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under56c127.73$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.532,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7241050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under50c90.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1962844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under62c80.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x044a…1acebacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.923959%23 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under61c75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c00…1c78backed Over42c65.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.012152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under67c62.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under50c60.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.224150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Over50c59.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.091540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c54.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under65c52.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under65c52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over49c51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.011,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Over40c49.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.988441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over59c46.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0139047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Over45c45.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2314448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under56c43.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over41c41.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.477741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c39.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under50c36.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.271,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c32.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.083,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0976…922bbacked Under50c31.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.931650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over46c30.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6820352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bde…237abacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.83053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under48c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4129247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4136350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc62…ba48backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc00c…ddc2backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb53e…1aa3backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156939.1%27 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x793d…278fbacked Over50c28.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.272638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1262049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b8…3c28backed Over48c21.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2616944.4%75 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1056454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6edf…97a1backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.