TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,009 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No60c2,029$1,219 inWon+$810.331,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No61c1,100$675 inWon+$424.9965762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes40c924.92$370 inLost-$369.9743543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes39c735.77$284 inLost-$284.1193145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1078…b0a2backed Yes38c400$152 inLost-$1525433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…a088backed Yes40c286.85$115 inLost-$114.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked No47c250$118 inWon+$132.51,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes53c249.92$132 inLost-$132.385,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes40c225$90 inLost-$9071449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a8…1932backed Yes40c222.67$88 inLost-$88.52245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df1…aa1ebacked Yes40c192.6$77 inLost-$76.941915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-61.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2853…b45bbacked Yes38c132.29$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No62c117.15$73 inWon+$44.2183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No60c78.23$47 inWon+$31.0992058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc9e…54b1backed Yes42c72.22$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c6…68dabacked Yes39c64.1$25 inLost-$252119%4 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-56.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8844…b7e5backed Yes39c47.06$18 inLost-$18.251735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dca…ff05backed Yes42c35.71$15 inLost-$151450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No62c30$19 inWon+$11.396956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No61c17.99$11 inWon+$7.0265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No60c16.67$10 inWon+$6.6797049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.