MLB · resolved market
NLDS: Mets vs. Phillies Game 4
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c59afdfe9ae12b619086aa42d95d06906a164409ed67fc01e949ba09c6234a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Mets | 52c | 23,124$12,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,102.44 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Phillies | 48c | 22,467$10,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,720.73 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mets | 64c | 2,189$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.35 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mets | 45c | 1,910$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Phillies | 10c | 1,778$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Mets | 51c | 1,380$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.77 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Mets | 52c | 1,343$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.59 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Phillies | 51c | 1,263$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.92 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…cbdfbacked Phillies | 48c | 1,188$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Phillies | 48c | 1,069$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…386dbacked Phillies | 10c | 1,045$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed Mets | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…746cbacked Phillies | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…823bbacked Phillies | 51c | 999.5$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…d1dcbacked Mets | 49c | 998.5$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e785backed Mets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed Phillies | 48c | 918.75$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…0850backed Mets | 53c | 810.75$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed Phillies | 48c | 626$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Mets | 49c | 589.35$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…31a7backed Mets | 51c | 580.39$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Mets | 60c | 567.22$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Phillies | 50c | 493.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Phillies | 61c | 475.69$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.17 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…4ed0backed Mets | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Phillies | 5c | 375.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Mets | 54c | 373.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.48 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…04d3backed Phillies | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mets | 75c | 344.69$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Phillies | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Mets | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Phillies | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…dd1bbacked Mets | 53c | 296.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…e619backed Phillies | 50c | 296$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Phillies | 50c | 265$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Phillies | 8c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Phillies | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…797fbacked Phillies | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Phillies | 50c | 242.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675b…822abacked Mets | 54c | 238.52$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…ee21backed Mets | 55c | 219$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c1…9d81backed Phillies | 45c | 219$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…5e3ebacked Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Phillies | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd5…b409backed Phillies | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…e338backed Mets | 50c | 175.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Phillies | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Phillies | 47c | 170.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd927…d5c3backed Phillies | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Phillies | 45c | 126.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed Mets | 40c | 113.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…f359backed Mets | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Mets | 59c | 107.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Phillies | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Mets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…8d8cbacked Mets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Phillies | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Phillies | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…3fc6backed Phillies | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Mets | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…71bbbacked Phillies | 51c | 97.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Mets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…83a3backed Phillies | 50c | 80.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3b…e3cabacked Mets | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Mets | 50c | 79.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ec…b8b7backed Mets | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a34…2685backed Mets | 50c | 65.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Phillies | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Mets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…595bbacked Mets | 50c | 45.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…9956backed Mets | 54c | 45.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Phillies | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Mets | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…66acbacked Mets | 51c | 42.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…db7dbacked Phillies | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Phillies | 49c | 35.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Phillies | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Phillies | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Mets | 59c | 34.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Phillies | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Phillies | 51c | 30.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Mets | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Mets | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…7664backed Mets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…9480backed Phillies | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…5be6backed Mets | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Phillies | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Mets | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…a25abacked Mets | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Phillies | 54c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd828…bc02backed Phillies | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.