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NFL · resolved market

Steelers vs. Chargers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Steelersof Steelers, Chargers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Steelers58c29,064$16,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,320.879949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Chargers43c24,908$10,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,633.9232438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6e…b233backed Steelers58c19,380$11,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,137.511533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Chargers42c19,262$8,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,103.4325137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Steelers54c17,203$9,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,890.5836246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chargers42c6,660$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.3639754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Chargers43c6,613$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.2712051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Steelers56c5,901$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.734349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…7407backed Steelers60c5,600$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2561560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56c…3bbcbacked Chargers43c5,002$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick58cpaid-67.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Chargers44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76016036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb27d…fc9cbacked Chargers42c3,437$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.73060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Steelers58c2,628$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.9222638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb866…36d4backed Chargers46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x799b…362dbacked Chargers43c1,858$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Chargers41c1,844$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.0917823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0deb…2549backed Chargers45c1,742$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.142842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Chargers43c1,628$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.249259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Steelers56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66020440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Chargers43c1,354$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.1811839%46 W · 72 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Chargers47c1,322$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.517541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Steelers54c1,184$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.0613751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Steelers55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9914445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Chargers46c938.3$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43216139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0895…8273backed Steelers51c879.86$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.441353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Chargers46c666$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.364143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Steelers57c645.69$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9914457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f2c…4cf3backed Chargers51c609.94$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c2…0a62backed Steelers53c600$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+46%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Steelers57c593.54$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.223161.3%19 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Chargers50c567.59$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.4125643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Chargers54c564.99$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8620246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x025c…b4b4backed Steelers56c551.45$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Chargers45c546.27$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.382839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91f…e659backed Chargers46c540$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.44841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…b273backed Chargers44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Chargers44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28eb…fd31backed Steelers55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Chargers45c497.84$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…bdc4backed Steelers56c466$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Chargers43c443.99$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9220736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4769…95fdbacked Chargers48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01a6…6440backed Chargers44c367.14$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Chargers41c339$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9911346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc717…88bbbacked Chargers43c339$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8d…f710backed Steelers59c339$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…4c92backed Chargers45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd399…d13ebacked Steelers57c331.58$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Chargers42c304.16$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.759747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cd…238dbacked Steelers58c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1272564%16 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3489…7fffbacked Chargers45c297.78$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc23…8bc9backed Steelers57c294.74$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…455fbacked Chargers22c273.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd0…2112backed Chargers44c263.64$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Chargers42c257.14$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Steelers58c238$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9616439.6%65 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b5…9f1ebacked Chargers44c228$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.322937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06db…5244backed Chargers45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf56…ee5fbacked Steelers57c219.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8189…dad2backed Chargers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+60.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf135…6fa0backed Chargers44c203.69$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Chargers46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9216832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1687…cfdcbacked Chargers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Chargers43c199.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9941540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd718…17c7backed Chargers55c190.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ad…f10cbacked Steelers56c187$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Chargers42c172.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6212827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Steelers58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4123351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8d…22e5backed Steelers56c164.11$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.211040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb115…502bbacked Steelers56c150.75$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Chargers44c150.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2729356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Chargers44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x136e…393ebacked Steelers56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x726f…e3cebacked Chargers44c147.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Chargers47c122$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.15955.9%33 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaff6…e680backed Chargers42c113.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Steelers54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1120758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1347…d256backed Chargers45c110.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.752060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Chargers46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.69946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf168…5725backed Chargers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Chargers43c100.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.019645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Steelers54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4618645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Chargers43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b3…e69cbacked Chargers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Chargers54c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4912022.5%27 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Steelers53c96.29$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7937556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb43…b10abacked Chargers27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff9c…2c98backed Chargers42c89.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b25…a49ebacked Chargers47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd387…cb91backed Steelers58c84.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+80.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391a…5179backed Chargers44c84.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7b4…951dbacked Chargers44c79.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.852725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Chargers42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Chargers42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Chargers42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd5…63a1backed Chargers43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515858.9%93 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7c8…24dcbacked Chargers45c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7520557.6%118 W · 87 L+16.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab3b…f0f2backed Steelers40c54.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.661650%8 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7077…e94dbacked Chargers45c53.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb24c…c868backed Chargers44c50.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.