TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $190 in May?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,094,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,124,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,094,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd02…aba7backed Yes44c56,016$24,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,880.476124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45af…9158backed Yes32c54,330$17,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,146.325514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbd2…d91ebacked No80c42,527$33,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,559.773060%18 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes43c38,105$16,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,572.2363835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked No77c36,921$28,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,609.421833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e44…e83fbacked Yes73c26,127$19,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,182.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc394…fb0abacked Yes46c22,019$10,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,214.441361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes38c21,750$8,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,336.787949.4%39 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1032…8f91backed Yes42c16,343$6,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9433847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes29c14,904$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,278.4358126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes0c13,599$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.16810.3%7 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-77.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f55…ce1bbacked No41c12,475$5,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,408.271816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-67.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No35c11,001$3,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,129.1413038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…f215backed No39c10,264$3,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,306.072520%5 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ee…7aa8backed Yes68c9,449$6,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,410.871612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-80.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes46c8,973$4,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,142.682634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69b…1ed8backed No76c8,858$6,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.724240.5%17 W · 25 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+110%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes46c8,014$3,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.5355032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c7,947$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.491,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…0cbbbacked No43c7,722$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,377.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58a8…52febacked Yes46c6,860$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.67825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked No48c6,817$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.315023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b3e…662cbacked No54c6,587$3,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.162850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No79c6,300$4,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.467327.4%20 W · 53 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes23c6,201$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4092623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes19c6,147$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.37328.8%21 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf323…c700backed No55c6,042$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.422846.4%13 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57ad…04a8backed Yes61c5,883$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77cd…1427backed No66c5,805$3,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…bd0abacked Yes35c5,567$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.34283.6%1 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-93.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed No64c5,156$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.231030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf53…8743backed Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df3…bbadbacked No45c4,700$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5922532%8 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9af…05adbacked No50c4,471$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.396018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-47.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No52c4,059$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.5737745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes29c4,016$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.3132524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes33c3,996$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.711030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2b…de3abacked Yes42c3,852$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.013259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…9c04backed No76c3,800$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x740e…fff3backed Yes59c3,500$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked No49c2,635$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.7314075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd5f8…c356backed No77c2,600$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No50c2,300$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.229054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4851…1e94backed No76c2,178$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.062548%12 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8add…fc2abacked No61c2,050$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.5966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6262…02d7backed No77c2,018$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cb…fbf5backed Yes1c2,014$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes34c2,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6701625%4 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No57c1,900$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.954953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fe5…70eabacked No65c1,839$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes37c1,753$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.295735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacc4…843fbacked Yes23c1,610$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes40c1,609$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.157540%30 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb08b…fbe9backed Yes75c1,541$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.231450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked No29c1,500$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0658470.2%59 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd321…a77fbacked No72c1,415$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.954763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…c11dbacked No44c1,353$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.442450%12 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed No21c1,260$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.9112020%24 W · 96 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e55…d601backed Yes56c1,248$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe074…0bdbbacked Yes43c1,202$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.071637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes39c1,201$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.2711619%22 W · 94 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed No59c1,200$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4861540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf559…45a9backed Yes23c1,160$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.470%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb42b…afe0backed Yes73c1,127$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.541668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+145.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Yes30c1,126$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.23053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes16c1,043$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.36306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-84.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbabd…3335backed No65c1,020$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.221236.8%78 W · 134 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Yes32c1,007$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…b534backed No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fec…728ebacked Yes77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7702231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a40…d801backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3103100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea6a…05b6backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes28c941.21$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6364812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb8…c0e9backed Yes32c934.12$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.264017.5%7 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No43c911.43$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.028327.7%23 W · 60 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7689…2fa9backed Yes24c898$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.863452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2763…7776backed No47c873$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.673633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7e…c200backed Yes45c857.09$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.6970%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf456…a6d5backed Yes50c803.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c03…8b7bbacked No80c758.48$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked Yes58c712.01$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.052934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed No75c683$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a7…49f7backed No58c680$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.69546.3%44 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7458…fecfbacked Yes48c650$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.53855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes45c635.63$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6917229.7%51 W · 121 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed No54c622.2$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9125824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf885…aea0backed Yes52c610$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274a…3f46backed Yes33c604.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe199…56a2backed No51c604.07$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e82…d977backed No48c575.67$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.551323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-62%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4a…104fbacked No55c544.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.123250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d9…5136backed No56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.71540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d34…17e8backed Yes20c507.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.03110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked No59c500$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.742544%11 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x247e…128fbacked No46c500$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0c7…7e0abacked Yes77c453.4$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x608c…39c9backed No49c450$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.722454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b81…274cbacked Yes22c445.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf55b…c69cbacked No45c435$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf244…beddbacked No44c398$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.