Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $130 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf3528de3fe0707d92a70e2c2c4244d95a3072debdbc1cfe26ea3e00271863cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $508,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 7c | 91,337$6,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,167.42 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 24c | 30,396$7,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,446.14 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 76c | 24,694$18,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,045.89 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked Yes | 26c | 21,972$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.45 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed No | 50c | 20,694$10,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,319.26 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 9,132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 42c | 7,500$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362.42 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Yes | 58c | 6,230$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 42c | 5,299$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 42c | 4,116$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.39 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…3128backed Yes | 1c | 3,632$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,378$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,100$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 25c | 2,500$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 6c | 2,257$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…dce7backed Yes | 62c | 2,022$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 80c | 1,695$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.58 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed Yes | 27c | 1,389$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.4 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 18c | 1,021$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…b05abacked Yes | 5c | 975.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 931.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 20c | 750.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 38c | 700$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 48c | 679.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.59 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…823cbacked Yes | 18c | 545$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…c11dbacked No | 42c | 484.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 70c | 363.19$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…9074backed Yes | 50c | 201.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…7a5cbacked No | 80c | 170.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 120.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 106$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…48febacked Yes | 62c | 93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…77ddbacked Yes | 63c | 87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa405…3782backed Yes | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ca…c060backed Yes | 64c | 59.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5280…dba2backed No | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…e21abacked No | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…9207backed No | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…82dcbacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…8585backed No | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b6…9ef1backed No | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…41f2backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $130 in May?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in May?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $170 in May?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $190 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.