TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9287…41f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
271
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT4763.8%30 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$23.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$84.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$50.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$16.2
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$12.9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$36.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$12.36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$26.5
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63%+$7.73
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$15.36
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$7.51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+46%+$6.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$90.7
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$9.7
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$25.5
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$57.62
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+54.2%+$8.08
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+59.3%+$33.5
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$58.4
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.8%+$19.1
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57%+$18.15
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+43.9%+$6.1
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.58
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+50.4%+$6.7
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+64.8%+$7.87
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+77%+$8.7
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$19
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+65.1%+$27.61
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+73.2%+$16.9
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$9.5
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+63%+$7.73
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$111.8
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$23.7
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$88.9
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$8.13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$63
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$9.23
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49%+$32.9
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$48.6
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$37.39
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.3
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.1
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+55%+$7.1
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.9
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.89
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.1
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.72
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$5.5
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63%+$34.8
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+46.5%+$60.29
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$34.9
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62.2%+$15.34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+41.8%+$5.9
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.2
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$6.22
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$14.4
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+57.9%+$11
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$13.8
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$6.26
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$31.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.3%+$5.33
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.7
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.9%+$5.5
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$12.86
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$47.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$13.8
Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+58.1%+$14.7
Will Solana dip to $140 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$9.8
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$6.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Solana reach $190 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Solana dip to $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$7.3
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$13
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.3%+$14.1
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.7%+$6.9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.14
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+62.9%+$19.3
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$15.9
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.6
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+45.8%+$53.4
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+65.8%+$11.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$13.7
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.3%+$30.7
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+50.9%+$23.62
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.7
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+40.9%+$60.95
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+48.5%+$9.8
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+42.2%+$80.1
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+47.9%+$29.56
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+37.9%+$11
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+40.2%+$8.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$13.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$37.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+125.9%+$37.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47%+$21.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.73
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+64%+$19.51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$5.79
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.2%+$9.2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+46.6%+$41.3
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$65.6
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$5.3
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$5.9
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+58.1%+$55.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rongzhu vs. Hubbardbacked Rongzhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovicsbacked Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+46%+$6.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-52.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+59.7%+$18.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$6.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+48.1%+$6.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+46.3%+$15.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+44.1%+$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match between AZ Alkmaar and IF Elfsborg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.