MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d6a8d1395445b054863f26fe745a7293d42bd31a1da22c431a3f328f9b9e8d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Athletics, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $741,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $780,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $741,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Athletics | 26c | 504,550$131,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,182.94 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Tigers | 74c | 291,601$215,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,816.38 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Tigers | 74c | 77,777$57,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,222.02 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers | 73c | 56,569$41,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,180.86 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…9a12backed Athletics | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Tigers | 74c | 42,867$31,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,145.33 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Tigers | 74c | 31,002$22,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,060.53 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Tigers | 74c | 19,550$14,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 26c | 18,034$4,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.78 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 28c | 12,096$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.54 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…7d62backed Athletics | 26c | 9,999$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…882bbacked Tigers | 74c | 9,996$7,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 26c | 5,818$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.31 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Athletics | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 74c | 4,977$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 26c | 3,845$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 70c | 3,807$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Tigers | 73c | 2,931$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.46 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…94f3backed Tigers | 74c | 2,735$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.68 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Tigers | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Tigers | 54c | 2,617$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.67 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.98 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Athletics | 26c | 2,400$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Tigers | 74c | 2,376$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.82 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd4…ee9fbacked Tigers | 74c | 2,230$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…4ee0backed Athletics | 26c | 2,100$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 27c | 2,041$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 74c | 2,030$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.8 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Tigers | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Athletics | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…6f9dbacked Athletics | 26c | 1,999$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9ed3backed Athletics | 26c | 1,962$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Athletics | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers | 74c | 1,900$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 1c | 1,611$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Athletics | 25c | 1,540$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.06 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers | 74c | 1,533$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.58 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics | 26c | 1,502$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.47 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Tigers | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Athletics | 2c | 1,263$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Athletics | 26c | 1,195$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.35 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers | 74c | 1,111$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.86 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…7ee7backed Tigers | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 25c | 1,069$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.19 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…7deebacked Tigers | 74c | 1,019$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…f43abacked Tigers | 74c | 1,015$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…bfdbbacked Tigers | 74c | 1,013$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…15e5backed Tigers | 74c | 986$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7013…2c27backed Tigers | 74c | 947$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 26c | 876.59$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.83 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Athletics | 26c | 792.75$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.07 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Athletics | 47c | 786.35$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.2 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Athletics | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Tigers | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Tigers | 58c | 626.97$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.33 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tigers | 74c | 604$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Athletics | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 45c | 586$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.19 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 26c | 585.43$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Athletics | 26c | 543$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Athletics | 22c | 523.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Athletics | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 3c | 473.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Athletics | 26c | 462$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Tigers | 74c | 445.95$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 29c | 432.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Tigers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Athletics | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Athletics | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Athletics | 26c | 376.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…d51dbacked Athletics | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Athletics | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Tigers | 70c | 332.86$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Athletics | 14c | 303.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb059…617dbacked Athletics | 27c | 301$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…8234backed Tigers | 48c | 300$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Athletics | 26c | 299.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Athletics | 26c | 270.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Tigers | 74c | 264.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7a…d0e1backed Athletics | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tigers | 75c | 249.12$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Athletics | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Athletics | 27c | 193.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Athletics | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…56a0backed Athletics | 27c | 189$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…db37backed Athletics | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 23c | 139$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tigers | 74c | 135.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Tigers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 25c | 133.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Tigers | 75c | 133.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.