Music · resolved market
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01233f830a0d3d7976774b21815f757eb438e0c9c6cc6a2b26715c8fdd4f01cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 34c | 5,776$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.54 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 29c | 5,758$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +307.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 39c | 5,493$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.01 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 59c | 4,601$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.09 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 56c | 3,554$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 40c | 2,819$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.73 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 38c | 2,355$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…a3f2backed Yes | 59c | 2,150$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 66c | 2,135$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…f8edbacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 28c | 1,882$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.14 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 75c | 1,005$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 29c | 973.07$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.36 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 36c | 949.32$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.9 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 65c | 794.17$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.65 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 73c | 738.48$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…6f8cbacked No | 36c | 720.9$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 38c | 706.25$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.33 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 69c | 677.26$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.47 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 40c | 634.39$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 60c | 616.38$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.33 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 72c | 543$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e200backed No | 29c | 523.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 61c | 462.56$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 73c | 449.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 29c | 399.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.46 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…cf6dbacked No | 43c | 392.55$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.01 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 71c | 380.42$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8ff1backed No | 47c | 380$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…db0abacked Yes | 53c | 370$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…dad3backed No | 47c | 345$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 68c | 329.37$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.38 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…5172backed Yes | 77c | 320.9$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…5bfabacked Yes | 53c | 320$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 23c | 292.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.97 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 29c | 287.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed No | 28c | 286.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 32c | 250$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…7f60backed No | 47c | 245$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…cbacbacked No | 48c | 245$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed No | 26c | 241.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.66 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…9941backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 29c | 233.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.69 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 71c | 208.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 24c | 205.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…f01dbacked Yes | 77c | 200$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 59c | 199.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 78c | 195.03$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 25c | 193.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked No | 42c | 190.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 62c | 186$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c696backed Yes | 58c | 170.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…69eabacked Yes | 64c | 161.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…a1bfbacked Yes | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…7f6bbacked Yes | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 38c | 138.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…7222backed Yes | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…2f9dbacked No | 30c | 131.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d39fbacked Yes | 76c | 130.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…088dbacked Yes | 78c | 128.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…b2e7backed Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 26c | 118.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0734…8eccbacked No | 27c | 111$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…b409backed No | 28c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 30c | 106.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 28c | 106$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 36c | 104.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…458dbacked No | 39c | 103$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…cb79backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…cf10backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…db56backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…9424backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 61c | 98.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 63c | 96.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 58c | 91.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked Yes | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 64c | 80.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…e788backed Yes | 67c | 76.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…19b9backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed No | 29c | 70.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed Yes | 67c | 69.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 60c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40d…c2adbacked Yes | 78c | 63.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…63e0backed Yes | 68c | 62.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…24d9backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…5570backed No | 35c | 57.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 38c | 56.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.